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Industry News July 13, 2026 2 min read

Rates on Hold — But the Real Debate Is When Hikes Begin

Ahead of this week's decision, economists agreed the Bank of Canada would hold at 2.25% — and disagreed sharply on how soon rates start rising again.

EverLend Team
Mortgage Expert

What happened

Heading into this week's rate decision, the consensus was clear that the Bank of Canada would stay at 2.25% — but as Canadian Mortgage Trends reported, the interesting split among economists is over the timing of the next move up.

That framing matters more than the hold itself. When the debate shifts from ‘how low can rates go’ to ‘when do hikes start,’ the window for today's borrowing costs has a horizon. Nobody can time it precisely — but the direction of risk has changed.

“economists remain divided over how soon the central bank may need to begin raising rates” — Bank of Canada expected to hold as debate shifts to timing of rate hikes, Canadian Mortgage Trends

The EverLend take

Variable-rate holders should stress-test their budget against a rate one point higher — if that number is uncomfortable, it may be time to talk about converting to fixed. And if you're renewing soon, securing a rate hold costs nothing and buys you 90–120 days of protection.

Source & further reading: Bank of Canada expected to hold as debate shifts to timing of rate hikes on Canadian Mortgage Trends.

Wondering what this means for your own mortgage? Talk to an EverLend agent — no cost, no pressure.

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